Thursday, September 04, 2008

NFL Predictions (Noonan Edition)

Football Outsider DVOA projections are here. My predictions use them, but are not a copy by any means. Without further ado...

NFC North
1. Packers (11-5)
2. Vikings (10-6)
3. Lions (7-9)
4. Bears (4-12

NFC East
1.Philly
2.Dallas
3.Washington
4.New York

NFC South
1.Carolina
2.New Orleans
3.Tampa
4.Atlanta

NFC West
1.Seattle
2.San Fran
3.St. Louis
4.Arizona

A brief word of explanation on the West. First of all, I’m bad at picking the West. I'm one of those people who thought the Cardinals would break out for the last 3 years. Second, while I may be playing into selection bias, as I saw the 49ers play 2 preseason games which is always a stupid way to judge a team, I think they will be pretty good and may push for a playoff spot in a weak division. The reason is that they have a strong defense anchored by the great Patrick Willis, and that I believe Alex Smith was a bigger problem than people realize. JT O’Sullivan is not great, but I think he’ll be a significant enough upgrade to do some damage with the old-but-still-effective Ike Bruce, and open up the ground game for Frank Gore. They may be a sort of Tampa Bay-in-the-making.

AFC North
1.Baltimore
2.Pitt
3.Cleveland
4.Cinci

AFC East
1.New England (duh)
2.NYJ
3.Buffalo
4.Miami

AFC South
1. Indy
2. Houston
3. Jacksonville
4. Tennessee

AFC West
1.San Diego
2.Denver
3.Oakland
4.KC

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